Remember when everything was predicted to be a "superspreader"?
The Super Bowl, the college football national championship, the May 2021 Canelo Alvarez fight (the largest indoor boxing event in history, with over 73,000 attendees), the return to full stadiums for the Texas Rangers, Donald Trump rallies (including one with Ron DeSantis in Sanford, Florida, in particular), and so on.
They were all supposed to be followed by mass death, and nothing of the sort happened.
In fact, it so didn't happen that even the Today Show, that mainstream standby, pointed it out: "It never happened. Cases are now in steep decline in every college football state across the south. Including Florida, where hospitalizations fell 64 percent last month, even as some 90,000 fans packed the [University of Florida] Gators' stadium."
Well, now we have a study of political events during that same period, and again: no evidence of a "superspreader" effect.
The study was recently published in a journal called Nature Human Behaviour, and it's called "Mass gatherings for political expression had no discernible association with the local course of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA in 2020 and 2021."
A summary:
Here we examined five types of political event in 2020 and 2021: the US primary elections, the US Senate special election in Georgia, the gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, Donald Trump’s political rallies and the Black Lives Matter protests. Our study period encompassed over 700 such mass gatherings during multiple phases of the pandemic. We used data from the 48 contiguous states, representing 3,108 counties....
There were no statistically significant increases in cases, deaths or a measure of epidemic transmissibility (Rt) in a 40-day period following large-scale political activities. We estimated small and statistically non-significant effects, corresponding to an average difference of −0.0567 deaths (95% CI = −0.319, 0.162) and 8.275 cases (95% CI = −1.383, 20.7) on each day for counties that held mass gatherings for political expression compared to matched control counties. In sum, there is no statistical evidence of a material increase in local COVID-19 deaths, cases or transmissibility after mass gatherings for political expression during the first 2 years of the pandemic in the USA.
Make of this what you will.
At the very least, it means the friends, family, and neighbors who screamed at you for two years turn out to have been full of it, and owe you an apology. "I didn't understand this as well as I thought" is what, for starters, needs to come out of their mouths.
Tom woods
https://rokfin.com/post/46760/Inoculum-of-Truth-CovID-2020-Coronavirus-Documentary-Lifting-The-Veil-
Https://tinyurl.com/2zzdb8d5
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